联合国开发计划署:新冠肺炎疫情对中国企业影响评估报告

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2020年4月7日,联合国开发计划署发布《新冠肺炎疫情对中国企业影响评估报告》。该研究评估了2019冠状病毒病疫情对中国民营企业,特别是中小企业的影响,进一步了解企业需求,提出相关建议,并确立国际组织设计合作项目的基线。

这份报告在创纪录的时间内发表的一个关键附加价值在于,它几乎基于实时的证据。这些证据来 自13次对企业代表深入的主题访谈,以及对10个组织发表的关于疫情影响的报告和研究文献的彻底审查。后者是对10项在线调查的汇总分析,调查对象涵盖了超过7.8万家中小企业和大规模的民营企业。所有这些调查都是在2020年3月中旬前进行的。

报告主要发现包括:
  • 疫情爆发使企业面临现金流趋紧、供应链中断、市场供求普遍下滑等压力,多数企业预计2020 上半年营收将明显下降。
  • 企业采取灵活复工、升级产品服务、压缩开支等方式努力应对影响,中小企业商业策略多随当下市场需求而定,中长期发展思考相对缺乏。
  • 企业普遍认为减免经营成本、促进复工复产的政策,以及旅游业等重灾行业专项扶持政策效果显著。
  • 中国企业对行业和整体经济恢复及长期发展充满信心,但全球经济发展前景因疫情流行面临较大不确定性。
  • 疫情在短期内可能会对企业参与落实联合国2030 年可持续发展目标带来负面影响。同时,疫情也可能推动企业重新审视与自然和社会的关系,促进包括企业、资本市场、消费者、政府等在内的多方更重视可持续发展模式。
  • 企业期待提供更多融资政策支持,以及更具行业针对性的政策支持,期待国际组织搭建沟通与合作桥梁,就共同推动全球防疫和经济复苏达成更多共识和互信。
  • 面向未来,企业及各方的信心对经济复苏至关重要;专家认为疫情将推动加快中国的改革开放,要求政府营造良好的营商环境,企业加大变革与创新的步伐;全球应团结一心,建立更强有力的多边协作机制,推动全球化进程,共同开展全球新冠肺炎疫情联防联控、全球产业链协作等方面的工作。


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