罗兰贝格:2016世界铁路市场报告

发布时间: 2016-12-22 17:11
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roland_berger_world_rail_market_presentation_final.pdf

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英文 完整版 PDF

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UNIFE World Rail Market Study 2016

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UNIFE and Roland Berger conducted the sixth edition of the World Rail Market Study

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The study provides a comprehensive overview and key insights on all relevant developments in the rail supply market

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Asia Pacific is the biggest driver of the installed base growth – VHS rolling stock segment with the highest growth rate of 6.2% CAGR1)

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The market outgrew the forecast and reached a CAGR of 3.0% in the last two years – Rolling stock is the main contributor

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Western Europe and Africa/Middle East are expected to show strongest growth rates – Asia Pacific to remain at high levels

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France, UK and Germany drive the market in Western Europe – Growth expected across all segments

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France and United Kingdom will invest significantly in the VHS segment, contributing to the overall market growth

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Due to significant investments in VHS and urban segments, the total market in NAFTA will amount to nearly EUR 34 bn in 2021

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Various urban projects expected to be ordered in Canada – US high speed rail predicted to gather pace

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The market in Asia Pacific is predicted to show substantial growth in the future at 2.6% CAGR

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Singapore-Kuala Lumpur high speed line expected to progress in the coming years – Notable projects planned in India

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The markets in Africa/Middle East are expected to resume growth in the long run following a short-term decline

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In Africa/Middle East, large infrastructure projects are planned in the urban segment

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All market segments expected to grow – Rolling stock growing slightly slower due to high current volumes

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We expect the market in Sub-Saharan Africa to grow fast – There are three key success factors for doing business in this region

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Through its technical and political pillars, the Fourth Railway Package will increase harmonization and liberalization of the European rail market

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Digitalization leads to an improved transport experience

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Need for action of decision makers – Further reduction of accessibility for European suppliers should be avoided

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Summary: The rail industry will continue its growth driven by demand, innovation and legislation

  • Stable growth of the industry will continue
  • Growth in all continents and all product segments
  • Megatrends continue to drive demand for rail transport
  • Digitalization is a chance rather than a challenge
  • Fourth Railway Package facilitates rail business
  • Mixed development of accessibility: Asia difficult, services segment improving


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